Friday, February 25, 2011

OSCAR PICKS, 2011

The Oscars are on Sunday! Holy cats!
Who will win? Who should win? Who cares? (I do! Apparently!)

LEADING ACTOR
  • And the winner will be: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
  • Better choices: Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine / Michael Shannon, My Son, My Son, What Have Ye Done

LEADING ACTRESS
  • And the winner will be: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
  • A better choice: Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine (A pair of crazy good performances in that movie.)

SUPPORTING ACTOR
  • And the winner will be: Christian Bale, The Fighter
  • A better choice: Nope. Bale was the best this year, by far.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
  • And the winner will be: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit (At least I hope it will be her. Taking a bit of a hopeful risk here...)
  • A better choice: Jacki Weaver is downright scary in Animal Kingdom. I'll be pleased if either she or Steinfeld wins.

ANIMATED FEATURE
  • And the winner will be: Toy Story 3
  • Better choices: How To Train Your Dragon, or Despicable Me, or The Illusionist, or...

ART DIRECTION
  • And the winner will be: The King's Speech
  • A better choice: I Am Love (Not even nominated! What?!)

CINEMATOGRAPHY
  • And the winner will be: Roger Deakins, True Grit
  • Better choices: Adam Kimmel, Never Let Me Go / Jeff Cronenweth, The Social Network | (Deakins is amazing, and has deserved an Oscar many times over, but True Grit mostly pales in comparison to his proven capabilities. See The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford for some of Deakins' best stuff.)

COSTUME DESIGN
  • And the winner will be: The King's Speech
  • A better choice: I Am Love

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
  • And the winner will be: Inside Job
  • A better choice: Restrepo

DOCUMENTARY SHORT
  • And the winner will be: Poster Girl (Sure! Why not?)

FILM EDITING
  • And the winner will be: The Social Network
  • A better choice: Maybe Inception? I still can't believe it was snubbed in this and the Directing categories. Ridiculous.

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
  • And the winner will be: In a Better World
  • A better choice: I've only seen one of the nominees(Biutiful), so I'll withhold judgment on this one. [Note: The First Beautiful Thing may be a great film--I don't know. But had Italy submitted I Am Love as its contender for Best Foreign Language Film, they might very well have won. Dummies.]

MAKEUP
  • And the winner will be: The Wolfman (Seriously.)

ORIGINAL SCORE
  • And the winner will be: Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, The Social Network
  • A better choice: Hans Zimmer's Inception score was integral to the film, but I'm 100% behind The Social Network on this one. Paired with Aaron Sorkin's script, that score is the film's backbone. Watch it again with the sound up, you'll see. (PS: How was Daft Punk not at least nominated for their TRON:Legacy score? Highway robbery!)

ORIGINAL SONG
  • And the winner will be: "We Belong Together," Toy Story 3
  • A better choice: The one Ryan Gosling's character sings in Blue Valentine.

SHORT FILM - ANIMATED
  • And the winner will be: Madagascar, carnet de voyage(?)
  • A better choice: I still haven't seen them! I know, I'm the worst! (Should I be fortunate/industrious enough to see them this weekend, I'll edit accordingly.)

SHORT FILM - LIVE ACTION
  • And the winner will be: Na Wewe(?)
  • A better choice: (See "Short Film - Animated".)

SOUND EDITING
  • And the winner will be: Inception

SOUND MIXING
  • And the winner will be: Inception

VISUAL EFFECTS
  • And the winner will be: Inception

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
  • And the winner will be: The Social Network

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
  • And the winner will be: The King's Speech
  • A better choice: My Son, My Son, What Have Ye Done

DIRECTOR
  • And the winner will be: David Fincher, The Social Network
  • A better choice: Depending upon how much (if any) of Exit Through the Gift Shop was constructed by its maker(s?), Banksy might deserve this award more than anyone. But that's also assuming Banksy is the actual director of that film, so.... | Werner Herzog for My Son, My Son..., Pedro Gonzalez-Rubio for Alamar, Charles Ferguson for Inside Job, and the royally-snubbed Christopher Nolan for Inception are all worthy. But all of that said, I'm totally down with Fincher taking it home.

BEST PICTURE
  • And the winner will be: The King's Speech
  • Better choices: Any of these. (The Social Network definitely has the best chance of pulling the upset, and I'm hoping it does just that.)

Ranking the Best Picture noms:
  1. The Fighter
  2. The Social Network
  3. True Grit
  4. Inception
  5. Winter's Bone
  6. Toy Story 3
  7. The King's Speech
  8. 127 Hours
  9. Black Swan
  10. The Kids Are All Right (Don't want to launch into too much of a rant here, but The Kids Are All Right is one of the worst movies I've seen in years. That it received a Best Picture nom really cheeses me off. If it wins any Oscars at all, I'll be quite unhappy. That is all.)
OSCAR PICKS! DONE! YEAH!

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